Sloane Stephens is set to clash with Renata Zarazua in the round of 32 at the WTA Auckland event on Monday. As anticipation builds for this match, new simulation results indicate that Zarazua is favored to win.
According to a recent advanced tennis model developed by Dimers, Zarazua carries a striking 76% probability of defeating Stephens in their upcoming encounter. Furthermore, she is projected to have a 71% chance of taking the first set. This analysis is based on extensive simulations, totaling 10,000 iterations, which focused on the performance metrics of the players involved.
Betting enthusiasts will find the odds for the matchup noteworthy. Currently, the moneyline offers a +300 for Stephens and -382 for Zarazua. The first set odds are also telling, with Stephens at +240 and Zarazua at -303. The game spread is set with Stephens at +5.5 (-102) and Zarazua at -5.5 (-132), while the total games over/under is positioned at 19.5.
In terms of predictions, the simulations suggest that while Zarazua is heavily favored, there remains a glimmer of opportunity for Stephens, who has a 53% chance of covering the games spread with a +5.5 advantage. Additionally, the model indicates that there’s also a 53% likelihood of the match exceeding 19.5 total games.
With both players aiming for a spot in the round of 16, fans can look forward to an exciting showdown that promises to showcase their skills and determination on the court.