Political experts from California are emphasizing the significant potential influence of young voters, aged 18 to 34, in the upcoming presidential election on November 5. This age group represents the largest voting demographic in the state; however, their turnout has historically been low. Jodi Balma, a political science professor at Fullerton College, highlighted that in the last elections, the majority of ballots were cast by individuals aged 50 and older, leading to decisions that may not align with the preferences of younger voters.
At a panel discussion titled “What to Expect for the 2024 Election” held at Cal State Fullerton’s Golleher Alumni House, experts shared insights on what to watch for on Election Night. Matt Jarvis, an associate professor, noted significant early voting indicators in battleground states like Virginia and Florida. He explained that the outcomes in key districts could reveal trends for both major parties and provide crucial election information.
Rob Robinson, a fellow associate professor, pointed out that Michigan would likely offer the first substantial results due to its quicker counting process compared to Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which has regulations that can delay results. Meanwhile, Shelly Arsneault indicated that factors such as reproductive rights may motivate young women to vote, especially in states like Florida.
Despite the potential for young people to drive election outcomes, many feel discouraged due to the Electoral College and a perception that their votes carry less weight. This disconnect could negatively affect their participation in congressional races, where their votes are particularly impactful.
Jarvis warned that the introduction of mail-in ballots and automatic voter registration has complicated predictions regarding election outcomes, suggesting a cautious approach from media networks regarding calling winners on Election Night. He also expressed concern over the potential for political violence following the election results, alluding to possible protests depending on the outcome.
In closing, Scott Spitzer stressed the importance of voting, particularly in these uncertain times. He urged those who have yet to cast their ballots to do so, emphasizing the power of each individual vote in the democratic process.
With the election rapidly approaching, there is hope that increased awareness and mobilization efforts could boost young voter turnout, resulting in a stronger representation of their voices in the political landscape. Public engagement and education initiatives, like those from Cal State Fullerton, are vital in empowering younger generations to take part in shaping their futures through the ballot.