SILVER SPRINGS, Md. – A new contest of winter forecasts is emerging as various agencies and almanacs release their predictions for the upcoming winter season. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) recently shared its annual outlook, anticipating a colder winter in the northern United States, while the southern states are expected to have a warmer-than-average season. This forecast follows earlier predictions from both the Old Farmer’s Almanac and The Farmers’ Almanac, which offer contrasting outlooks.
NOAA’s analysis integrates advanced climate models alongside atmospheric trends, particularly the influence of the La Niña phenomenon. Forecasters suggest that this winter could bring more severe cold to the northern tier and Upper Midwest than usual. NOAA explained, “This set of conditions does slightly elevate the potential for colder temperatures in the central and eastern U.S., supporting favored below-normal temperatures in the Upper Midwest.” Additionally, the forecast predicts wetter conditions for the Ohio Valley, southern Great Lakes, and most of Alaska, while drier-than-average weather is expected in the Desert Southwest and Gulf Coast, leading to potential drought conditions across Texas and California. In contrast, the Pacific Northwest may see relief from drought with a combination of wetter and cooler weather.
The Farmers’ Almanac offers a different narrative, foreseeing a winter characterized by “dramatic swings and widespread winter weather.” The publication predicts that the coldest temperatures will affect regions from the northern Plains to New England, alongside significant rain mixed with snow along the East Coast and a classic winter scene for areas like the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Their call to action is clear: “Get ready to ‘chill, snow, repeat.’”
Meanwhile, the Old Farmer’s Almanac presents an outlook that anticipates a more gentle winter with milder temperatures across the country and extended dry periods. Though they predict a colder-than-normal winter in certain regions, they emphasize a tranquil winter overall. Editor Carol Connare commented, “Most areas will experience near-normal to slightly milder temperatures, but from the Appalachians south through the Southeast and Florida, and westward across the Ohio Valley, we’re predicting a colder-than-normal winter.”
As predictions vary widely, the general public is left to prepare for an uncertain winter ahead. Whether it’s gathering snow shovels, grabbing warm jackets, or simply keeping a watchful eye on the weather, it’s wise to be ready for whatever Mother Nature has in store for the season. With each forecast, hope remains for a balanced winter with both picturesque snowfall and manageable weather conditions, making the season a delightful experience for many.