Second-seeded Alexander Zverev is slated to face off against fourth-seeded Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinals of the 2025 Vienna Open. Zverev has enjoyed a strong season, amassing a record of 50 wins and 21 losses along with a title victory in Munich. He kicked off his Vienna campaign with a hard-fought 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 (5) win against British qualifier Jacob Fearnley in the first round. Following that, he secured a comfortable 6-4, 6-4 victory over Italian qualifier Matteo Arnaldi in the second round, before advancing to the quarterfinals via a walkover from Tallon Griekspoor.
On the other hand, Musetti’s season has also been noteworthy, featuring 41 wins and 17 losses. The Italian made notable strides on clay with a final appearance in Monte-Carlo and semifinal finishes in Madrid, Rome, and Roland Garros. In Vienna, Musetti began his tournament with a 6-4, 6-3 win over Hamad Medjedovic and then defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3, 6-4 in the next round. He capably took down Corentin Moutet in the quarterfinals, winning 6-3, 6-4.
The semifinals will take place on October 25, 2025, at the Wiener Stadhalle in Vienna, Austria, as part of the ATP 500 event on an indoor hard court.
In their head-to-head matchups, Musetti leads Zverev 3-1, with Zverev’s sole win coming by way of retirement. Musetti has showcased consistent performance against Zverev, including a recent 7-6 (1), 6-4 triumph in their last encounter in Rome this year. The two players also clashed in Vienna the previous year, resulting in a victory for Musetti after an intense three-set battle.
As they prepare for the semifinal, Zverev exhibits solid statistics, having won 78% of his first serve points and 67% of his second serve points in Vienna. He has created ten break point opportunities, converting three of them, and has faced three break points, getting broken twice. Conversely, Musetti has demonstrated even greater efficiency, winning an impressive 79% of his first serve points and converting 7 of 12 break points across his matches, successfully saving five of the six break points he has faced.
While Zverev boasts a commendable record on indoor hard courts, including eight titles from ten finals, and a historical performance in Vienna with a 15-4 win-loss record, Musetti strives for his first final on this surface. With a recent semifinal run being his best showing in Vienna, Musetti is steadily making strides on hard courts, having reached the Chengdu Open final this year and secured a quarterfinal spot at the US Open.
Given Zverev’s previous successes in Vienna, he might appear to hold an advantage. However, his conservative approach on critical points could play into Musetti’s strengths as a creative shot-maker. Having defeated Zverev on the same court before, Musetti carries confidence heading into their upcoming match, making him a slight favorite to claim the victory. The prediction suggests Musetti could win in three sets, setting the stage for an exciting semifinal clash.