Alexei Popyrin and Matteo Berrettini are set to face off in the round of 32 at the ATP Vienna Open on Wednesday. According to the latest analysis by Dimers, Matteo Berrettini is favored to win the match with a 60% probability, leaving Alexei Popyrin with a 40% chance.
Dimers’ data analyst, Greg Butyn, shared insights from their 10,000 match simulations, which highlight Berrettini’s strength in early play as well. The model suggests that Berrettini has a 56% chance of winning the first set and a 53% likelihood of covering the -1.5 games spread. Additionally, the total games are projected to stay under 25.5 with a 59% chance of happening.
Betting odds for this highly anticipated match have also been provided:
– Popyrin Moneyline: +130
– Berrettini Moneyline: -150
– First Set – Popyrin: +110, Berrettini: -139
– Game Spread – Popyrin: -1.5 (-120), Berrettini: +1.5 (-110)
– Total Games Over 25.5: (-120), Under 25.5: (-120)
These odds reflect current betting trends and are subject to change leading up to the match.
The match is scheduled to begin on Wednesday, October 22, 2025, at 7:30 AM ET. This exciting encounter is expected to showcase top-tier tennis as both players aim to advance in one of the sport’s prestigious tournaments.
Fans of tennis can stay engaged with Dimers’ resources for additional betting advice and insights on responsible gambling. Whether you’re looking for analysis, picks, or access to a variety of betting apps, there are numerous options to enhance your sports betting experience. The anticipation builds as Berrettini looks to capitalize on his predicted advantage while Popyrin is keen to upset the odds.