Francesca Jones and Eva Lys meet in the US Open Women’s Singles 2025 first round on Wednesday, with data-driven insights from Stats Insider guiding predictions and betting tips.
Stats Insider’s model runs 10,000 simulations to forecast the outcome. It indicates Lys has a 54% probability of defeating Jones in the US Open first-round clash, suggesting Lys is the more likely winner overall.
Odds snapshot from Australia
– Match winner: Jones 2.20, Lys 1.66
– First set: Jones 2.10, Lys 1.72
TAB sportsbook listings mirror the match odds at Jones 2.20 and Lys 1.66. For the first set, TAB shows Jones at 2.10 and Lys at 1.80, which implies about a 55% chance for Lys to win the opening set based on their odds.
Best bets and guidance
– Head-to-head odds: Jones 2.20 with TAB
– First set odds: Lys 1.80 with TAB (about 55% probability)
– Prediction approach: The model indicates Lys is more likely to win the match, but the suggested bet from Stats Insider favors Jones to win because of an odds edge when compared with the model’s probabilities.
Event details
– US Open 2025, Francesca Jones vs Eva Lys
– Round: First round
– Start time: 5:15am AEST
– Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
What this means
– The simulations point to Lys as the favorite to win the match, but value bets may exist on Jones depending on the odds you’re seeing. Both players are adjusting to the big-stage environment of the US Open, and this early-round clash could set the tone for their campaigns.
Summary
– Lys is favored by the data with about a 54% win probability, but the betting edge, according to the model, lies with backing Jones to win given current odds. Times and odds are in Australian Eastern Standard Time, and odds can shift as bookmakers update their lines.
A few practical notes
– Always gamble responsibly and be mindful that odds can change up until the match starts.
If you’d like, I can add a concise match preview focusing on recent form or surface suitability to complement these predictions.