In the world of fantasy football, tight ends often pose a conundrum for drafters. While some choose to invest high picks in elite talents like Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, and George Kittle—who were the standout performers last season—many others find themselves weighing the opportunity cost of spending valuable draft capital on a position that may not significantly impact their overall scoring.
Bowers, McBride, and Kittle averaged over 12 half-PPR points per game last season, placing them as the top options heading into drafts. Bowers, in particular, had an incredible rookie season, while McBride’s performance surpassed notable wide receivers like CeeDee Lamb and Justin Jefferson, earning him a top spot in the rankings. Kittle consistently emerges as a top-three tight end when healthy. However, despite their impressive stats, the gap in performance compared to elite running backs and wide receivers raises concerns about the desirability of drafting tight ends early.
Research shows that after these top three, there exists a flat tier of tight ends, with many cluster within two points per game in projections. This indicates a lack of differentiation among the mid-tier options, many of whom come with either significant ceilings or risks compared to the more favorable running backs and wide receivers available.
As an alternative strategy, drafters are encouraged to consider late-round tight ends. The key characteristics to look for include past production, size-adjusted athleticism, and a path to targets. This year, notable names include Kyle Pitts and Strange.
Pitts demonstrated strong potential during his rookie year with impressive stats but has struggled with injuries and inconsistent quarterback play in subsequent seasons. However, he appears to be gaining traction in training camp, particularly after a teammate’s injury opens up opportunities for targets.
Strange, on the other hand, made strides last season when called upon and showcased his potential during key games. With changes in Jacksonville’s offensive structure, there may be increased opportunities to build on his previous performance.
Both tight ends can capitalize on their respective situations if they can leverage past performance while fitting into their offenses’ strategies. Given the changing dynamics in the league, those targeting tight ends late in their drafts may find valuable upside in these players.
In conclusion, while the tight end position often presents challenges, savvy drafters can find success by exploring late-round options. With careful consideration of athletes with proven skills and emerging opportunities, it’s possible to roster a productive tight end without sacrificing early round picks better spent on high-scoring positions.