Forecasters are actively monitoring a potential nor’easter that may affect New York City from late Sunday into Monday. Current weather models display a wide range of predictions, with some indicating a significant coastal storm while others suggest the system could pass without impact. The National Weather Service has indicated a 50% chance of snow for Sunday and Sunday night, although only minor accumulations are expected unless the storm takes a path closer to the coast.
As the weekend approaches, confidence in the storm’s trajectory and snowfall amounts is expected to improve. Most of the Interstate 95 corridor is currently on alert, but meteorologists emphasize the uncertainty surrounding the situation, as different weather models present conflicting outcomes.
Some models circulating on social media depict a severe snowstorm; however, these scenarios are based on a single model and do not represent the overall forecast consensus. In contrast, other models predict lighter snow accumulations.
The storm system is currently approaching from Canada, and its development into a more powerful coastal storm will depend on various factors, including the storm’s track and the availability of cold air from the north. The FOX Forecast Center suggests that while some snow seems likely, there’s still a chance for a complete miss where the storm drifts harmlessly out to sea.
Slightly more specific projections indicate a potential for only a few inches of snow in New York City, which could vary drastically based on the storm’s final position. “A coastal low is what’s really going to determine our weather outcome,” explained FOX 5 NY meteorologist Liv Johnson. “If this low moves closer, that increases our chance of snowfall. Conversely, if it remains farther offshore, chances decrease.”
In the days leading up to Sunday:
– Thursday is expected to be cloudy with a high around 42 degrees, and rain is likely overnight.
– Friday will see steady rain, with temperatures around 39 degrees and a 100% chance of precipitation.
– Saturday, there is a 20% chance of rain before the afternoon, transitioning into possible snow as temperatures drop overnight.
The snowfall is particularly crucial because New York City is still dealing with residual snow from January’s substantial winter storm, which could complicate the response to any new snow accumulation.
The two primary weather models influencing forecasts are the Global Forecast System (GFS) from the U.S. and the ECMWF, known as the European model. Both models provide valuable insights that heavily shape public expectations regarding upcoming weather events.
As the situation develops, residents are encouraged to stay informed through reliable weather sources and prepare for whatever may come this weekend, ensuring safety regardless of the outcome.