Donald Trump is set to meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the White House on Friday, where they are expected to discuss the potential supply of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine. This meeting marks the fourth in-person encounter between the two leaders since Trump resumed office in January, and the second in less than a month, highlighting the ongoing collaboration between the United States and Ukraine amidst the ongoing conflict with Russia.
Tomahawk missiles are long-range, guided cruise missiles that have been utilized in combat since 1991. They are typically launched from naval vessels to strike deep targets on land. The most advanced version, the nuclear-capable Block II, has a range of up to 1,550 miles, while the latest conventional models can travel around 995 miles. Given their capability to fly at low altitudes reaching speeds of 550 miles per hour, these missiles would significantly bolster Ukraine’s offensive capabilities, allowing strikes deep into Russian territory, targeting military installations and strategic hubs.
Ukraine’s interest in acquiring Tomahawk missiles stems from the desire to hit targets that are currently out of reach, effectively expanding its operational reach against Russian forces. Military analysts from the Institute for the Study of War suggest that numerous Russian military sites could be impacted if Ukraine gains access to these missiles. Moreover, Ukrainian officials believe that enhancing their military capabilities could pressure Russia to engage in serious negotiations.
However, there are considerable challenges associated with deploying Tomahawk missiles. Ukraine lacks the necessary ships and submarines typically needed for launch, though there is a land-launch variant called Typhon that could be more fitting. Nevertheless, current stocks of these launch platforms are limited. Experts believe that even if Ukraine obtains Tomahawks, the number available—estimated to be between 20 and 50—may not be sufficient for effective use, particularly since these missiles are most efficient when launched in groups.
In recent discussions, Trump has alluded to the possibility of supplying these missiles to Ukraine, while also indicating his administration’s support in sharing intelligence to help Ukraine conduct targeted operations against Russian oil facilities. However, a recent conciliatory conversation with Putin cast uncertainty on the immediate delivery of military aid. Trump noted that Putin responded unfavorably to the mention of Tomahawk missiles, raising concerns about whether he is using the prospect of supplying the missiles as leverage against him without wanting to escalate tensions.
Overall, this ongoing dialogue between the U.S. and Ukraine reveals a complex interplay of geopolitical strategy, with the potential supply of Tomahawk missiles serving as both a potent military asset and a topic of intricate diplomatic maneuvering. The situation highlights the delicate balance of support and caution as the U.S. navigates its response to the ongoing conflict and its relationship with Russia.