Rainy week ahead as tropics turn more active; higher chance of rain Monday
A wet pattern settles in this week with the highest chances for rain and thunderstorms early in the week. Forecasters say the tropics are becoming more active, feeding additional moisture and instability into the region and keeping repeated rounds of showers and storms on the forecast.
Forecast highlights
– Sunday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible after 2 p.m. Mostly cloudy with a high near 81°F. Northeast winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation: 20%. Sunday night brings a higher chance of showers and storms (40%) with a low near 69°F and east-northeast winds 7–9 mph.
– Monday: Rain chance increases — showers possible before 11 a.m., then a greater chance of showers and thunderstorms late morning through the afternoon and especially after 2 p.m. Patchy fog possible before 1 p.m. High near 80°F. East-northeast winds around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation: 50%. Monday night showers are likely into the evening with a low around 70°F; rain chance remains about 50%.
– Tuesday: Similar pattern to Monday with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon and evening. High near 83°F; low near 71°F Tuesday night.
– Wednesday: A bit lower coverage — chance of showers increases in the afternoon and evening with highs near 86°F. Chance of precipitation: 40%.
– Thursday through Saturday: Rain chances taper to about 30% each day. Mostly to partly sunny with highs in the upper 80s (around 87–89°F) and lows around 72°F.
What this means and safety tips
– Afternoon and evening heating combined with increased tropical moisture will favor storms during the late-morning through evening hours. Brief heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds are possible with stronger storms.
– Patchy fog Monday morning may reduce visibility; allow extra travel time if you must drive early.
– Secure loose outdoor items ahead of gusty winds Sunday and keep an eye on changing conditions if you have outdoor plans Monday–Wednesday.
– Stay weather-aware: monitor local forecasts and radar, and be prepared to move indoors quickly if thunderstorms develop.
Additional comments and explanation
The uptick in tropical activity acts as a moisture source for the region, raising the odds of repeated shower and thunderstorm development. Daytime heating will help trigger storms during afternoons and evenings, which is why most higher probabilities are timed for late morning into the evening periods. Toward late week the atmosphere should become a bit less favorable for widespread storms, reducing coverage to around a 30% chance each day.
Short summary
Expect periodic showers and thunderstorms through midweek, with the greatest coverage Monday and Tuesday (around a 50% chance). Drying and fewer storms are likely late in the week, giving a better window for outdoor plans by Thursday–Saturday.
Hopeful note
While a soggy start to the week could disrupt some outdoor activities, the trend toward lower rain chances by mid-to-late week offers a promising window for weekend plans and outdoor events.