The tropics are experiencing heightened activity on both sides of Mexico, with forecasts indicating the formation of two named storms, Barry and Flossie, within the next day or so.
Currently, a significant influx of moisture is moving westward through Central America and the eastern Pacific, spawning two developing systems. While direct impacts from these tropical storms on the United States are not anticipated, some moisture may reach the Southwestern region later in the week.
In the Gulf, Tropical Depression Two is generating thunderstorms over southeastern Mexico and the Bay of Campeche, prompting a tropical storm warning for regions along the eastern Gulf Coast of Mexico from southern Tamaulipas to northern Veracruz, including Tampico. The storm is projected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Barry shortly before making landfall in eastern Mexico late Sunday or early Monday. The primary threat associated with this system is likely to be excessive rainfall, with forecasts predicting 3 to 6 inches and isolated areas potentially receiving up to 10 inches, according to NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center. Tropical storm force winds and hazardous surf conditions, including rip currents, are also expected along the coast.
Meanwhile, on the Pacific side, Tropical Depression 6 is anticipated to develop into Tropical Storm Flossie as it moves northwest near the Mexican coastline. Predictions suggest that Flossie may reach tropical storm or low-end hurricane status. While the forecast remains uncertain, outer rain bands from this storm could bring flash flooding to the Pacific coast of Mexico. Additionally, this system might contribute tropical moisture that could be directed northward as a burst of monsoonal moisture into the Southwestern U.S. prior to July 4th.
As we track these systems, it’s essential for residents in affected areas to stay informed and prepared for potential impacts from heavy rainfall and tropical storm conditions.