The Atlantic is poised for a shift as weather patterns suggest the development of a storm in the coming week. As of Sunday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center has reported a 40% likelihood of a weather system in the Northwestern Caribbean evolving into a named storm within the next couple of days, with the probability jumping to 80% by midweek.
Forecasters anticipate the formation of a tropical depression or storm during this period. Consequently, tropical storm watches or warnings may be issued as early as Monday for certain areas in Cuba and Mexico.
The next system on the 2024 hurricane season list will be named “Helene.” The timing and trajectory of this system will significantly influence its path toward the Gulf of Mexico and, potentially, the United States later in the week.
Coastal residents from Louisiana to Florida’s west coast are advised to stay updated on forecasts over the next few days. While it is premature to determine the exact path of the system, areas including the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend may be especially vulnerable to impacts.
Beyond the storm’s trajectory, its size and intensity are also critical factors, as these can lead to extensive effects even far from the center. Risks such as heavy rainfall, isolated severe weather, and hazardous rip currents could impact both sides of the Florida peninsula.
In South Florida, weather conditions will hinge on the storm’s developing location and strength, possibly bringing breezy weather, brief downpours, elevated surf, and treacherous marine conditions.
Residents are encouraged to review their hurricane preparedness plans using the free NBC6 hurricane guide.