A tropical depression is anticipated to develop off the coast of Mexico this week, potentially earning the name Alvin if it escalates into a tropical storm, marking the first storm of the season for both the Eastern Pacific and Atlantic basins.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has identified the area as Invest 90-E. This designation indicates that meteorologists are closely monitoring the situation for possible tropical development. The NHC reported that thunderstorms and showers are becoming more organized around a broad low-pressure area several hundred miles from southern Mexico, with conditions looking favorable for further growth.
Forecasters suggest there is a significant probability that this system could develop into at least a tropical depression within the next couple of days. This development comes just shy of two weeks after the Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15, while the Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1.
As the system moves west-northwest at approximately 10 mph, it is expected to strengthen into a tropical depression soon. Notably, Alvin is not projected to significantly impact the Mexican coast as it approaches land later this week. The cooler waters encountered further north along its predicted path will likely hinder its ability to maintain strength.
Meteorologists emphasize that once the storm reaches temperatures in the 70s, it is unlikely to continue developing into a stronger system.
Overall, while the formation of tropical storms can often lead to severe weather, in this instance, the expectations are for minimal impact, reminding us of the dynamic nature of hurricane seasons with each storm and system.