Trent Grisham is poised to become a notable figure in the upcoming free-agent market following a solid 2025 season. The 29-year-old outfielder showcased his potential with a commendable .235 batting average, alongside 34 home runs, 74 RBIs, and enhancements in his on-base skills reflected in a .348 on-base percentage. His performance earned him a 129 wRC+, indicating he was 29% better than the average offensive player in the league.
As Grisham navigates his free agency, he faces a significant decision regarding his contract strategy. He could choose to secure a longer-term deal with financial security, or he might opt for a shorter contract that allows him to leverage his recent success for a more lucrative opportunity in the near future. In line with recent trends, he is expected to command an average annual value (AAV) ranging from $12 million to $17 million depending on the length of the contract, likely falling between two to four years.
Grisham’s situation is reminiscent of previous free agents who found themselves in comparable circumstances. For instance, Michael Conforto’s one-year, $17 million deal last offseason and Anthony Santander’s five-year contract worth $92.5 million highlight the potential financial landscape awaiting Grisham. However, uncertainties about Grisham’s future performance, notably in terms of his declining defense and speed, leave some questions about the ideal length of the contract.
Several teams are eyeing Grisham in the free-agent market, with the New York Yankees emerging as a likely destination. The Yankees, facing a potential departure of Cody Bellinger, may see Grisham as a viable replacement to maintain their competitive edge. The fit between Grisham and the Yankees was evident previously and continues to hold merit as the team strategizes for the future.
Overall, Grisham’s career trajectory hinges on both his past performance and how the market develops in the offseason, providing a compelling narrative in this year’s free agency. The next steps for Grisham will be closely watched by fans and analysts alike, as his decisions could set the tone for his career moving forward.