Toluca continues its impressive run, remaining unbeaten and breaking its streak of not winning, despite facing key player absences. Under the guidance of coach Mohamed, the team aims to build on its momentum as they take on Necaxa today, seeking to climb further up the standings.
Necaxa presents a unique challenge, as the team has experienced a season of extremes, winning and losing without a single draw. Coach Martín Varini has instilled a clear philosophy within the squad, emphasizing ball control and dynamic movement. However, facing the defending champions, Necaxa’s strategy could sway toward caution, considering the risk of a significant loss against a formidable opponent.
Toluca is set to see some key players returning, with Vega making the trip, although it will depend on his condition during the match if he gets minutes on the field. The intention is to have him start against Chivas in the future, but today’s match could serve as an opportunity for him to regain match fitness. Helinho’s status remains uncertain; reports suggest he may be recovering, but concerns about his injury management persist. Castro, however, will not be in the lineup.
Mohamed has typically made adjustments in the defense without affecting the team’s overall performance, and he may opt to do so again. Price’s position could be in jeopardy, suggesting the possibility of Santiago Simón pushing forward to contribute to the attack.
The key factor for Toluca will be its ability to adapt against Necaxa’s five-man defense. Mohamed might respond similarly by allowing Gallardo and Simón more freedom to create play from the flanks. However, regardless of whether they field four or five at the back, the Diablos will need to improve their goal-scoring opportunities and finishing to capitalize on their play. Utilizing Barbosa as a fullback with Simón positioned ahead could be a strategic consideration.
Defensively, Toluca will face challenges, particularly with Necaxa’s Carranza, who poses a threat in aerial plays and is effective at exploiting spaces behind defenders.
Historically, since their Copa final in 2018, where Necaxa triumphed over Toluca, the teams have faced off ten times, with Toluca winning three matches and Necaxa only once at the Victoria stadium, along with three draws.
In this matchup, Carranza stands out as a player to watch. The Argentine forward has begun finding the net and, alongside Almendra, has formed a dangerous combination that has proven effective in several matches for Varini.
In conclusion, despite missing key players, Toluca has adapted to a more robust defensive style, emphasizing their defensive strength without compromising on intent. The team has learned to excel in defense, conceding only two goals in six games and none when playing away. This shift demonstrates the evolving nature of a team that previously thrived on offensive flair but is now equally proficient in its defensive capabilities.