Bryan Armetta analyzes the Minnesota Timberwolves’ offseason moves and their projected win total for the upcoming 2025-26 NBA season. This summer has seen fewer activities for the Timberwolves compared to last year, with the team primarily focused on extending contracts for key players Julius Randle and Naz Reid. The only notable loss has been Nickiel Alexander-Walker, leaving the core roster intact. After consecutive exits in the Western Conference Finals, the question remains: Can this team finally break through?
The Timberwolves have a projected win total of 50.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook, placing them fourth among Western Conference teams.
Analysis reflects on the potential benefits of maintaining consistency. Following last season’s major trade for Randle alongside Karl-Anthony Towns, chemistry might improve. However, the competitive landscape in the Western Conference has shifted, with rivals strengthening their lineups. The Houston Rockets made headlines by acquiring superstar Kevin Durant from the Suns, while the Nuggets reshaped their roster around Nikola Jokic, bringing in Cameron Johnson and adding key depth with Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown. Meanwhile, the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder are still the frontrunners with their promising young talent.
Despite last season’s success (a 49-33 record and playoff progression), doubts linger about Minnesota’s ability to secure a top position in the conference, particularly since they finished as the sixth seed. The team has proven it can contend for an NBA Finals spot, but faced relatively easier competition, with underperforming squads like the Lakers and a Warriors team without star Stephen Curry.
To elevate their game, internal development will be crucial. Promising prospects Rob Dillingham and Terrance Shannon Jr., first-round selections in 2024, could prove vital if they can outperform veteran Mike Conley. Defensive standout Jaden McDaniels might also enhance his scoring ability as he matures at just 24 years old. Notably, when Randle is healthy, the Timberwolves showcased remarkable potential, finishing at 44-25. Additionally, the emergence of Anthony Edwards as a likely All-NBA selection could see him entering MVP discussions.
Though the Timberwolves boast a well-rounded roster, they must navigate the challenges of a highly competitive Western Conference, where even the strongest teams can find it difficult to secure playoff spots. Given their limited roster changes, Armetta expresses skepticism about the team’s ability to improve upon last season’s win total.
With a mix of internal potential and external competition, the Timberwolves are poised for an interesting season ahead, with hope resting on the growth of their young talents and veteran leaders.