The Fiji Meteorological Service has issued an update regarding Tropical Disturbance TD08F, situated near American Samoa, indicating that the likelihood of it becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 24 to 48 hours remains low. The agency assessed the current position of the system through visible satellite imagery and peripheral surface observations, describing the overall organization as poor.
TD08F is characterized by slow movement, with significant convection noted to the northeast of the low-level circulation center. Additionally, the cyclonic circulation extends up to 600 hectopascals, while the system is currently in an environment of low upper-level divergence and experiencing low to moderate wind shear. The sea surface temperatures in the vicinity are around 29 degrees Celsius, which is generally conducive for cyclone development.
Despite these conditions, global weather models suggest that the system will likely drift southeast without significant intensification. According to the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre in Nadi, Fiji, the potential for TD08F to evolve into a tropical cyclone remains minimal.
The Fiji Meteorological Service assures the public that they will continue to monitor the situation and will provide further updates should any developments occur. This vigilance offers a sense of reassurance as communities in the region remain alert to potential weather changes.