The TCU Horned Frogs (6-4, 3-4 Big 12) are set to clash with the Houston Cougars (8-2, 5-2) in a compelling Big 12 matchup this Saturday at TDECU Stadium in Houston, Texas. The game is scheduled to kick off at 4 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on FOX.
TCU enters the contest on the heels of a disappointing loss to BYU, where they fell 44-13, marking their second consecutive defeat. After a strong start to the season, averaging 36.3 points per game in their first seven outings, the Horned Frogs have struggled offensively, scoring only 53 points over their last three games.
Conversely, No. 24 Houston heads into this game well-rested, coming off a bye week after their exciting victory against UCF, where they emerged victorious 30-27. The Cougars demonstrated an impressive ground game by rushing for 210 yards. In fact, they have surpassed 180 rushing yards in three of their last four games.
Historically, the rivalry is quite close, with Houston leading the all-time series 14-13. Notably, the Cougars defeated the Horned Frogs 30-19 in their last meeting on October 4, 2024, marking their first victory over TCU since 1992.
According to the latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook, TCU is listed at -105 on the moneyline, while Houston is at -115. The spread is currently set with TCU at +1.5 and Houston at -1.5. The over/under for the game is pegged at 55.5.
Expert predictions suggest a tight matchup, with Houston expected to edge out TCU by a narrow margin of 28-27. While TCU has faced challenges recently, they have a formidable passing attack led by quarterback Josh Hoover, which could pose problems for the Cougars’ defense.
Betting trends indicate the Under has been a favorable choice in recent Houston games, particularly at home, boasting an 8-3 record in their last 11 home contests. Additionally, the Under has hit in four of the last five matchups between these two teams.
In light of these factors, TCU may provide value against the spread at +1.5, offering a chance for a potential upset against a Houston team that will look to continue their strong performance this season. As the teams prepare to battle it out, fans can expect an intriguing game with plenty of implications for the Big 12 standings.