Rebel forces in Syria have reportedly seized control of four cities within a mere 24-hour period, marking a significant shift in the ongoing conflict. The advances come as the regime of President Bashar al-Assad seems to be crumbling, with rebels making notable inroads into the capital, Damascus. In a surprising declaration, the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) announced that they have liberated the city, although independent verification of this claim is still lacking.
State-controlled narratives from the Syrian government initially dismissed these reports, characterizing them as “rumors and false news.” However, videos circulating on social media allegedly depict Syrian troops abandoning their posts, which may indicate a scale of retreat from government forces.
On the morning of the rebel advance, HTS reported their troops had reached Sednaya prison, a notorious facility known for human rights abuses. In a move that aims to bring stability, the Syrian Prime Minister Ghazi al-Jalali stated the government is prepared to cooperate with opposition forces and will transfer authority amicably.
The United States is closely observing these developments. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan linked the rapid progress of rebel forces to the diminished support from Assad’s main allies—Iran and Russia. Both nations seem to have been preoccupied with other conflicts, affecting their commitment to the regime in Syria.
In a series of swift operations, rebels have also claimed jurisdiction over cities such as Homs, Daraa, Quneitra, and Sweida. Reports suggest governmental forces have largely vacated southern Syria, creating new strongholds for the opposition.
The HTS leadership, particularly Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, is attempting to reshape its image, distancing itself from its past ties to al-Qaida. This effort raises questions about the future governance of any territories under their control should Assad’s regime fully collapse.
Experts have pointed out the regional ramifications of this turmoil, indicating it may pose challenges for both Iran and Russia, who have backed Assad’s regime for years. If their military advisors continue to withdraw, the remaining Syrian forces may struggle to maintain control against the ongoing rebel campaigns.
As this situation unfolds, some view the potential for change in Syria as an opportunity for reevaluation of governance and stability, particularly if a more moderate approach emerges from the HTS coalition. The hope is that new leadership could lead to a cessation of hostilities and a roadmap toward rebuilding the war-torn nation. However, questions remain about the future direction of any new authority and its alignment with international norms.
This pivotal moment in Syrian history could usher in a new era, dependent on the responses from both local and international stakeholders addressing the change in leadership and power dynamics within the country.