The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks, two teams struggling in the Western Conference, are set to face off, raising questions about which team might find their rhythm again. The Suns have encountered difficulties of late, losing five of their last nine games and going 3-6 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are on a troubling seven-game losing streak, with a 2-5 record against the spread in that span.
Looking into the performance metrics, the prediction for this matchup suggests a low-scoring affair, recommending a bet on the Under with a total set at 229. The Mavericks’ offensive struggles are evident; they hold the fourth-worst offensive rating in the league. In contrast, they have managed a respectable 12th in defensive rating, contributing to their propensity for games finishing under the total points.
The Suns, with Dillon Brooks back in the lineup, showcase a strong eighth place in defensive rating, though their offense has slowed considerably, ranking 21st in offensive rating over their last ten games. This combination of strong defense and sputtering offense makes a significant case for a battle of defenses, leading to fewer points scored.
In considering individual performances, the Mavericks’ inability to defend the paint poses an opportunity for Suns center Mark Williams, who has averaged 13.4 points over his last eight games. A prop bet for Williams to score over 12.5 points appears promising. Additionally, with the Mavericks’ offensive inefficiencies leading to more rebounding opportunities, Royce O’Neale’s expectation of over 4.5 rebounds stands out, as he’s achieved this mark in three of his last five games.
For those looking to place bets, notable Vegas lines include the Mavericks at +8 and the Suns at -8. The moneyline has the Mavericks at +260 and the Suns at -320. Betting trends also underscore that the Suns have historically leaned towards the Under, with 18 of their last 25 home games ending in that direction.
This matchup not only presents a pivotal moment for both teams to seek improvement but also a chance for fans to see defensive tactics that could lead to a defining game in their seasons. As both teams battle, the focus will be on turnovers, rebounding, and defensive efforts, emphasizing the significance of each possession. Fans can catch the action on Tuesday, February 10, 2026, with tip-off scheduled for 9:00 PM ET at the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix.