The Atlantic is expected to see storm activity emerge this week after several days without a named storm. As of Sunday afternoon, National Hurricane Center forecasters indicated a 40% chance of development from an area of unsettled weather in the Northwestern Caribbean over the next couple of days, increasing to an 80% chance by midweek.
During this timeframe, the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm is anticipated. Consequently, tropical storm watches or warnings may be issued as soon as Monday for parts of Cuba and Mexico. The next named storm for the 2024 hurricane season will be “Helene.”
The timing and trajectory of this system’s development, particularly its potential path toward the Gulf of Mexico, will significantly influence its movement toward the United States later this week. Residents from coastal Louisiana to the west coast of Florida are advised to closely monitor the forecast in the coming days. While exact paths are yet to be determined, the Florida panhandle and the Big Bend area might be key regions for potential impact.
In addition to the storm’s path, its size and intensity will also be critical factors, as they can lead to extensive effects away from the center. These may include heavy rainfall, isolated severe storms, and a heightened risk of dangerous rip currents along both coasts of Florida.
In South Florida, weather conditions will hinge on the expected storm’s position and strength, potentially resulting in breezy weather, intermittent downpours, high surf, and hazardous marine conditions. Residents are encouraged to review their hurricane preparedness plans using available resources.