The Sony Open in Hawai’i is set to commence the 2026 PGA season at the renowned Waialae Country Club. Known for its emphasis on precision and iron play, Waialae is a course that challenges golfers to showcase their accuracy and patience, rather than sheer power.
As the tournament approaches, players who excel with their approach shots and maintain a strong focus on avoiding costly mistakes will likely thrive. With it being the first week of the PGA season, there is an opportunity to be strategic with betting choices without overextending oneself, especially as attention also turns to the NFL playoffs and the College Football Playoff championship.
Among the top contenders, Russell Henley stands out with a projected top-10 finish at +115. He comes into the tournament as a favorite, showcasing impressive statistics in strokes gained for approach shots and tee-to-green play over the last 32 rounds. Henley’s successful track record at Waialae, which includes a win, a runner-up finish, and other top-10 placements, underscores his capability to perform well on this course.
Another player to keep an eye on is Ben Griffin, who is priced at -130 for a top-20 finish. Griffin leads the field in both bogey avoidance and scrambling, essential skills at Waialae where precision counts. Though he may not have extensive experience at this venue, his solid tee-to-green performance implies he could navigate the challenges effectively.
Chris Kirk, with odds for a top-30 finish at +100, has shown himself to be a consistent performer at Waialae. His successful history here makes him a compelling bet, particularly as he typically excels in ball-striking, which is crucial for success on this challenging course.
For followers of daily fantasy golf, several players are poised for standout performances. Keegan Bradley at $9,300 provides excellent tee-to-green play and has the potential for steady fantasy points accumulation. Kurt Kitayama at $8,900 offers volatility and potential for high rewards, while Mac Meissner and Matt McCarty, both priced at $7,500, present options for stability without significant risk.
Conversely, Gary Woodland, at $7,400, may not be the right choice. His recent performance metrics suggest declining proficiency, making him a risky consideration for the tournament.
As the Sony Open unfolds, the combination of strategic betting, player experience, and the unique demands of Waialae will dictate the tournament’s outcomes. Fans and players alike are poised for an exciting start to the PGA season, with high hopes for a competitive and engaging tournament.