The upcoming Mountain West showdown between San Diego State and Boise State carries significant implications, as both teams find themselves tied at the top of the conference standings. The winner not only secures a crucial advantage in the race for the regular-season title but also positions themselves to host the coveted conference championship game. Conversely, the losing team will join a competitive group featuring five other teams, each with two conference losses.
Historically, Boise State leads the series with a record of 6-4, which includes a decisive 56-24 victory over SDSU last season.
As the Aztecs (7-2, 4-1) prepare to take on the Broncos (6-3, 4-1) at Snapdragon Stadium, several key factors are poised to influence the outcome:
SDSU’s defense has been a focal point of discussion leading into the game. The Aztecs have showcased their ability to shut down opponents, recording an impressive three shutouts this season, yet faced struggles against Washington State and Hawaii. SDSU edge rusher Trey White emphasized the need for the team to minimize self-inflicted errors, recognizing that mistakes significantly impacted their momentum during the loss to Hawaii. Despite the setback, the defense demonstrated resilience by not allowing any second-half points and limiting Hawaii to just 86 yards in the final two quarters. However, the absence of linebacker Tano Letuli, who sustained a season-ending injury, adds to the pressure for the remaining players to step up.
On the other side, Boise State’s offense will be in transition with starting quarterback Maddux Madsen sidelined due to a right foot injury. Back-up Max Cutforth is expected to make his first start after facing challenges in relief against Fresno State. Yet, the extra week for preparation could yield a more refined game plan tailored to Cutforth’s strengths. Although the Broncos will miss wide receiver Chris Marshall, they still possess a reliable group of pass catchers, including Latrell Caples, Matt Lauter, and Ben Ford, who have all made significant contributions this season.
The weather could play a crucial role in the game as well, with rain expected throughout the matchup. While SDSU has struggled in the rain recently, the Broncos are not accustomed to wet conditions, potentially giving the Aztecs a slight edge.
Turnovers may also be a determining factor. With rain-soaked conditions, the teams must focus on ball protection. SDSU’s turnover rate has increased in recent weeks, contrasting with their strong start to the season, while Boise State has struggled with turnovers, ranking poorly nationally in interception percentages.
Lastly, sustaining drives will be pivotal for both teams. San Diego State’s offense has had issues converting on third down, sitting second to last nationally in conversion rate, whereas Boise State fares better. SDSU kicker Gabe Plascencia’s reliability in the red zone may provide a crucial advantage, as the Aztecs tackle an opposing defense that has struggled to contain opponents once they penetrate the 20-yard line.
The exciting matchup between Boise State and San Diego State is set for 7:30 p.m. on Saturday at Snapdragon Stadium, with broadcast coverage on CBS Sports Network and radio coverage on 760-AM. Fans are eagerly anticipating a showdown that not only determines league standings but also establishes confidence heading into the final stretch of the season.