Karen Khachanov is set to face Jesper De Jong in the round of 32 at the ATP Rotterdam event on Wednesday. As the match approaches, updated simulations from advanced tennis models project Khachanov as the favorite to win.
According to predictions from a leading tennis analytics model, Khachanov has a strong 84% chance of triumphing over De Jong at the ATP Rotterdam Open. The data suggests that he also holds a 79% probability of securing the first set. Furthermore, the simulations indicate that Khachanov, favored by 4.5 games, has a 53% likelihood of covering the spread, while the chance for under 21.5 games is closely contested at 52%.
Current betting odds reflect this anticipated outcome, showing Khachanov at -629 to win, while De Jong is listed at +471. The odds for the first set favor Khachanov at -400, with De Jong at +300. As for the game spread, Khachanov is at -4.5 (-118) compared to De Jong’s +4.5 (-116). The total games line is set with Khachanov at over 21.5 (-108) and under 21.5 (-126).
For those looking to place a bet, aligning picks with the latest odds can increase the chances of a profitable outcome. Each market presents opportunities to capitalize on Khachanov’s statistical edge, particularly his projected performance against De Jong. The anticipation builds as fans look forward to an exciting matchup in Rotterdam.