The ATP 500 Rotterdam semifinals are shaping up to deliver thrilling indoor hard-court matchups, featuring Alex de Minaur against Ugo Humbert, and Felix Auger-Aliassime squaring off with Alexander Bublik. Each of these players is showcasing impressive form, promising intense competition on February 14, 2026.
In the first semifinal, Alex de Minaur will face Ugo Humbert. De Minaur heads into this match with a solid record, having won four of his last five encounters. He opened his campaign in Rotterdam with a straight-sets victory over Fils, followed by another confident win against Wawrinka. However, he faced a significant challenge in the quarterfinals, battling van de Zandschulp through three tense sets after dropping the first set. Having finished as the runner-up in the previous two editions of this tournament, De Minaur is looking to secure his first Rotterdam title.
On the other side, Ugo Humbert is also in fine form, with four wins in his last five matches. Despite a setback in Montpellier last week, Humbert has shown resilience, defeating the formidable Medvedev in the opening round and easily overcoming Den Ouden in the second round. In the quarterfinals, he outperformed O’Connell without giving up any breakpoints, demonstrating his powerful serving. Although Humbert is considered the underdog by bookmakers, historical data shows he leads their head-to-head matchups on hard courts, igniting hope for a competitive clash.
In terms of betting analysis, Humbert covering the games handicap at +2.5 holds potential value, especially given De Minaur’s recent struggles in the quarterfinals.
The second semifinal pits Felix Auger-Aliassime against Alexander Bublik. Auger-Aliassime enters this match with a winning streak of seven consecutive matches, recently claiming the Montpellier title by defeating Mannarino in the final. The Canadian has performed exceptionally in Rotterdam, winning all his matches in straight sets, showcasing his strong service game and impressive consistency.
Bublik, meanwhile, is fresh off a mixed performance in the Davis Cup and has won four of his last five outings. In Rotterdam, he has successfully navigated through tough matches, including a challenging victory over Hurkacz and a grueling battle with Munar in the quarterfinals. Known for his ability to thrive on faster surfaces, Bublik is another underdog who could produce an upset.
As the semifinals approach, both Humbert and Bublik present interesting value bets in terms of their handicaps, with Humbert at +2.5 games at odds of 1.83 and Bublik also at +2.5 games at 1.80, both from Bet365. Given the quality of play and the drive of these athletes, fans can expect high-stakes entertainment filled with competitive spirit.