The Philadelphia Phillies will face the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday in the second game of a two-game series. The matchup is significant for both teams, with the Phillies having come back from a five-run deficit to win 10-9 on Tuesday night. Earlier this season, the teams split two games in Philadelphia. Currently, the Phillies hold a record of 82-56, leading the National League East and winning eight of their last 11 games. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are at 67-73, fifth in the American League East, having claimed victory in six of their last 11 games and going 5-3 in their last eight contests at home.
First pitch at Rogers Centre in Toronto is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET. Historically, the Blue Jays lead the series 48-35, including a 24-17 advantage at home. The latest betting odds give the Phillies a -125 line (risking $125 to win $100), with the over-under set at 8 runs. Prior to making any decisions on the game, bettors are encouraged to consult the predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s computer simulation model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each MLB game 10,000 times and enjoys a strong track record, going 30-15 on top-rated run-line picks (+863) from last season into the ongoing MLB season.
For this matchup, the model has made its predictions regarding the Phillies vs. Blue Jays. Here are the key betting lines:
Phillies vs. Blue Jays money line: Philadelphia -125, Toronto +106
Phillies vs. Blue Jays over-under: 8 runs
Phillies vs. Blue Jays run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+133)
The Phillies have gone under their team total in 47 of their last 78 games, while the Blue Jays have exceeded the game total in 30 of their last 43 home games.
For the Phillies, left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (9-9, 3.49 ERA) will take the mound. Sanchez has been impressive, having started 26 games this season, with a team-high of two complete games. He has pitched 152 innings, allowing 158 hits, 59 earned runs, and 36 walks, along with striking out 124 batters. In his last start, he received a no-decision after going 5.2 innings against the Atlanta Braves, where he allowed seven hits and two earned runs while striking out eight.
Offensively, first baseman Bryce Harper has been a key player for the Phillies. This season, he has played in 122 games with a .282 batting average, along with 34 doubles, 26 home runs, 76 RBIs, and 73 runs scored. Harper has been in great form recently, recording five multi-hit games in his last eight outings.
For the Blue Jays, right-hander Bowden Francis (8-3, 3.66 ERA) will start. He has performed well in 23 games, including nine starts, giving up 59 hits and 32 earned runs, while striking out 75 with a 0.99 WHIP over 78.2 innings. Francis has won four consecutive games and five of his last six. In his last appearance, he pitched seven innings against the Boston Red Sox, allowing just one hit and striking out five.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a significant contributor to the Blue Jays’ offense. He has shined recently, posting seven multi-hit games in his last nine contests, including a standout 4-for-5 performance on Tuesday, featuring a double and a home run.
SportsLine’s model expects the run total to go over, predicting a combined score of 9.2 runs, and identifies one side of the money line as having notable value. For detailed predictions and insights, visit SportsLine for the latest updates.