Charlie Cummings offers an in-depth preview, prediction, and analysis for the upcoming matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Philadelphia Phillies.
Following the All-Star break, the Phillies aim to solidify their position in the National League East while striving for a top playoff seed. Currently, they hold a favorable position to potentially outpace other contenders, particularly as they prepare to face a struggling Angels squad. Sitting at 48-50, the Angels find themselves fading from the playoff race, prompting a sense of urgency as the trade deadline approaches. It is a critical moment for both teams, with the Phillies looking to enhance their roster with every victory and the Angels feeling the pressure to secure wins.
The betting odds reflect this competitive dynamic, with the Phillies favored at -187 on the moneyline, while the Angels come in as +152 road underdogs. The over/under is set at 8.5 runs, hinting at expectations of a strategically fought contest.
In terms of pitching, the matchup features José Soriano for the Angels and Ranger Suárez for the Phillies. Soriano has been effective, boasting a power sinker that has led to a remarkable 67.3% ground ball rate, significantly limiting home runs—surrendering only four across 113 innings this season. On the other hand, Suárez excels at minimizing hard contact, with an average exit velocity of just 84.4 MPH, placing him at the top of MLB starting pitchers. His ability to command various pitches positions him well against a less potent Angels lineup.
For the best betting opportunity, Cummings suggests taking the First Five Innings total runs under 4.5 at -120. He anticipates Suárez will perform consistently, effectively managing the game early. Given the matchup, Cummings expects the starting pitchers to dominate early on, lowering the likelihood of high-scoring innings.
There’s a clear narrative of resilience and ambition for the Phillies as they seek to capitalize on this pivotal moment of the season. Overall, fans can expect an exciting showdown with implications for both teams’ immediate futures.