The Carolina Panthers aim to equal their victory total from 2023 as they take on the Atlanta Falcons this Sunday afternoon. Carolina (1-4) suffered a defeat in Chicago last week, with a score of 36-10, while Atlanta (3-2) pulled off a dramatic comeback to defeat Tampa Bay in overtime, winning 36-30. The Panthers have had the upper hand in recent matchups, winning two of the last three encounters, including a low-scoring 9-7 game last December. Atlanta holds a 2-3 record against the spread, while the Panthers sit at 1-4 against the spread in 2024.
Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET at Bank of America Stadium. Atlanta is currently favored by 6 points in the latest betting odds, with an over/under of 46 points. Before making any predictions on the Panthers vs. Falcons matchup, it’s advisable to consult the NFL insights and betting advice from a reputable computer model.
This model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, has shown remarkable success, boasting gains of over $7,000 for $100 players on premium NFL picks since it began. It enters Week 6 of the current NFL season on a hot streak, winning 10 of its last 12 top-rated picks this year. Over the long term, the model stands at 191-131 on top-rated NFL picks since the 2017 season, with a 45-23 record on top-rated choices since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked among the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for four of the past six years for straight-up NFL picks and has outperformed over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players multiple times. This history of success is a strong indicator that those who follow the model’s predictions tend to benefit.
Now, the model has turned its attention to the Falcons vs. Panthers game and has finalized its predictions. You can check out its picks on SportsLine. Here are some key betting lines:
Falcons vs. Panthers spread: Falcons -6
Falcons vs. Panthers over/under: 46 points
Falcons vs. Panthers money line: Falcons -265, Panthers +215
Falcons vs. Panthers streaming: FuboTV (trial available)
Reasons the Falcons could cover the spread include their knack for winning tight games this season, having achieved victories by one, two, and six points. The Falcons’ offense displayed impressive performance last week against Tampa Bay, highlighted by quarterback Kirk Cousins completing 42 passes for a record 509 yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Drake London is proving to be a difficult matchup, having caught 12 passes for 154 yards and a touchdown last week. Another key contributor, Darnell Mooney, added nine catches for 105 yards and two touchdowns.
For Atlanta to contend seriously for the division title, running back Bijan Robinson needs to elevate his performance. Thus far in 2024, he’s rushed for just 285 yards and has one touchdown, not the output expected from a player of his caliber. Given that the Panthers’ defense is allowing the fifth most total yards in the league, this could be an ideal opportunity for Robinson to break out.
On the other hand, the Panthers could also cover the spread if they can bounce back from last week’s disappointing performance. Veteran quarterback Andy Dalton struggled, throwing for only 136 yards and an interception. Carolina may consider returning to last year’s first overall pick, Bryce Young, as they aim to keep playoff hopes alive. Wide receiver Diontae Johnson has been productive with 15 catches for 205 yards and two touchdowns in Dalton’s earlier games and will be crucial in facing Atlanta’s secondary.
Running back Chuba Hubbard has been a standout for the Panthers this season, notching 97 or more rushing yards in each of his last three games and averaging 115 all-purpose yards per game since Week 1, along with three touchdowns. With Jonathon Brooks set to be activated soon, Hubbard’s consistent performance may keep him in the starting role.
The model has simulated the Panthers vs. Falcons matchup 10,000 times and suggests the total points will go over, as well as identifying one side of the spread as offering better value. The detailed picks and predictions can be accessed through SportsLine.
As fans eagerly await Sunday’s showdown, the big questions remain: Who will emerge victorious between the Falcons and Panthers, and which side of the spread is the smartest bet? Check SportsLine for the model’s insights on these critical questions.