Currently, the Atlantic Ocean remains calm, while activity in the Pacific is brisk as forecasters track five systems, which includes Hurricane Iona and Tropical Storm Keli. According to a National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory dated July 29, Hurricane Iona has escalated into a major hurricane, positioned about 765 miles south-southeast of Honolulu. With maximum sustained winds reaching 125 mph, Iona is classified as a Category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale, though it is approaching Category 4 status.
Iona is projected to continue its westward trajectory, gaining speed over the next few days. Forecasters anticipate further strengthening before a gradual weakening phase expected to start on Wednesday. Importantly, no direct impacts from Iona are expected on the Hawaiian Islands. However, there is concern regarding elevated wildfire risks across more than half of the islands due to increased trade winds combined with existing drought conditions.
In addition to Iona, Tropical Storm Keli is forming in the Pacific, located approximately 890 miles southeast of Honolulu, with winds around 40 mph. The forecast predicts that Keli will likely maintain its strength as it progresses westward.
The NHC is also observing an area of low pressure about 1,500 miles east-southeast of Hawaii, labeled as EP98, with a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm in the next couple of days. Additionally, there is a system with a 90% chance of formation off the southwestern coast of Mexico, and another low-pressure area is expected to develop near Baja California, albeit with a lower formation chance of 20%.
The timely preparation for potential hurricanes has been underscored, encouraging residents in at-risk areas to gather disaster supplies, develop evacuation plans, and ensure their home insurance is adequate to cover potential damages, including flooding.
While the Pacific is exhibiting notable storm activity, the overall calm in the Atlantic gives a moment of respite. It’s critical for communities to remain vigilant, prepared, and informed, which can significantly enhance safety and resilience during hurricane season.