Braves at Cubs: Matt Olson Under 1.5 Total Bases eyes Monday matchup at Wrigley Field
Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves head to Chicago to face the Cubs on Monday, September 1, 2025. The prop on Olson’s total bases is 1.5, with the Under listed at -125.
Season snapshot for Matt Olson
– Plate appearances: 513
– Hits: 136
– Batting average: .265
– On-base percentage: .362
– Slugging percentage: .450
– OPS: .812
– Runs scored: 74
– Walks: 77
– Strikeouts: 147
– Total bases (season): roughly 1.7 per game over 133 games
– Career baserunning and power context: Olson has accumulated 1,194 games played in MLB with strong on-base and run-producing numbers, and a career slugging mark that supports occasional multi-base hits.
Recent form and role in this game
– Last 5 games:
– vs Miami Marlins: 2 hits, 6 total bases, 0 walks, 2 strikeouts
– vs Miami Marlins: 1 hit, 1 total base, 1 walk, 1 strikeout
– vs Miami Marlins: 0 hits, 0 total bases, 0 walks, 3 strikeouts
– vs New York Mets: 0 hits, 0 total bases, 0 walks, 2 strikeouts
– vs New York Mets: 1 hit, 1 total base, 1 walk, 0 strikeouts
– In the Braves’ last five games, they’ve averaged about 6.3 hits and 5.0 runs per contest, with Olson accounting for a meaningful share of plate appearances and power output during the window.
– Last 10 games: Olson has posted 19 total bases across roughly 47 plate appearances, hitting at a .258 pace with a .398 slugging and a .315 OBP. He’s produced several extra-base opportunities but has also had a few quiet showings.
Why the Under could hit
– Olson’s season-long total bases pace sits around 1.7 per game, so a 1.5 threshold is slightly below his typical rate, depending on the night’s matchup and ballpark dynamics.
– The last week or so has shown Olson capable of both big and zero TB outings, suggesting variance in a single game can swing the result either way.
– Playing at Wrigley Field sometimes moderates power for some hitters, and this matchup could yield a tighter night in terms of extra-base hits for Olson.
Bottom line
– The bet: Under 1.5 total bases for Matt Olson in the Braves-Cubs matchup at Wrigley Field.
– Rationale: Olson has the seasonal average around the prop line, with recent mixed TB results illustrating the potential for a 0 or 1 TB game rather than a multi-base performance. The Under is priced at -125, reflecting value on a low-to-mid TB night in this game.
Additional notes for readers
– If you’re building a multi-game or parlay piece, consider Olson’s proximity to the 1.5 line in recent form and the home park factors at Wrigley that can influence extra-base opportunities.
– As always, monitor any late lineup shifts or weather conditions that could affect ball travel and scoring.
Overall assessment
– A cautious, value-driven bet given Olson’s season averages and recent fluctuations. The Under offers a reasonable chance of success in a single-game window without relying on a big power display.