As No. 1 Ohio State prepares to face No. 15 Michigan on November 29, the stakes are higher than ever, especially for the Buckeyes, who seek to break a four-game losing streak against their fierce rivals. Here are three crucial factors that could determine the outcome of this highly anticipated matchup.
First and foremost, Ohio State must start strong. The psychological impact of recent defeats in this rivalry is undeniable, with the Buckeyes last tasting victory over Michigan in 2019. Falling behind early could lead to a sense of inevitability about further disappointment. An initial lead would not only provide a significant confidence boost but could also alter the dynamics of the game, forcing Michigan, known for its ground game, to rely more on the pass as they chase points. In their most recent contests, Ohio State has struggled, leading at halftime only once during their losing streak against the Wolverines. A fast start could be crucial for setting the right tone.
Defensively, Ohio State must focus on getting stops. Since bringing Matt Patricia on board as defensive coordinator, the Buckeyes have demonstrated impressive defensive prowess, boasting an 81.9% stop rate that ranks them third in the Football Bowl Subdivision. Ohio State’s defense has successfully curtailed opponents’ drives, limiting third-down conversions to just 28.6%, the fourth-best rate in the FBS. The challenge will be to maintain this momentum against Michigan, who has exploited lengthy possessions to control the clock effectively, particularly in decisive late-game situations in their past matchups.
Another critical element will be containing Michigan quarterback Bryce Underwood. Although Underwood faced challenges leading into October, his recent performances have shown marked improvement. Completing 67.3% of his passes in his last two games and contributing significantly to the ground game with 322 rushing yards and five touchdowns, his ability to make plays is enhanced by the absence of star running back Justice Haynes due to injury. Ohio State’s defense will need to be vigilant, particularly regarding Underwood’s mobility, to limit his effectiveness both through the air and on the ground.
A spotlight matchup in this game will be between Ohio State’s passing offense and Michigan’s passing defense. The Buckeyes have encountered difficulties in quarterback play in their previous losses; both Will Howard and Kyle McCord struggled, resulting in more interceptions than touchdowns. In contrast, redshirt freshman Julian Sayin, who has been less prone to mistakes, will be tasked with navigating a formidable Michigan defense that leads the FBS in interceptions with 12 and has allowed minimal big plays. Sayin’s ability to maintain efficiency and make impactful throws will be essential, especially as the Buckeyes deal with depth issues at wide receiver.
This matchup also carries historical significance, with Ohio State aiming to avoid losing more than four consecutive games to Michigan for the first time in 98 years. As the Buckeyes prepare to enter this crucial game, a sense of urgency and determination will be vital in their quest for victory. Fans can look forward to an intense showdown that promises to deliver drama and excitement as one of college football’s greatest rivalries unfolds once again.