The US Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has confirmed the formation of a Category 1 tropical cyclone near New Caledonia. The Fiji Meteorological Service, which is responsible for naming cyclones in the region, has designated the system as Tropical Depression TD06F.
Currently, TD06F is reported to be slow moving, and while it possesses good upper-level divergence and low to moderate wind shear, the conditions are not ideal for further strengthening. The Fiji Meteorological Service noted that deep convection is displaced to the northwest of the cyclone’s low-level circulation center, and there is an influx of dry air from the southwest.
The sea surface temperatures in the vicinity of the system are approximately 28 degrees Celsius. According to Fiji Met, TD06F is being guided southeastward by a near-equatorial ridge and is expected to maintain this trajectory for the next 24 hours.
Models indicate that the system is unlikely to intensify significantly in the short term, with the forecast showing a very low potential for the development of a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. Importantly, there is no threat posed to Fiji from this system.
This situation serves as a reminder of the importance of monitoring weather patterns, particularly in regions prone to cyclones. While the current forecast does not signal immediate danger, continued vigilance is essential for preparedness and safety in the region.