The Nevada Wolf Pack are set to face off against the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday, October 18, in Albuquerque, New Mexico, with kickoff scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET on FS1. The Lobos come into this matchup favored by 13 points, reflecting their stronger season thus far. Nevada is positioned as a +13 underdog, with odds of +375 on the moneyline for those looking to back an upset. The over/under for the game is set at 49.5 points.
In the lead-up to the game, the Nevada Wolf Pack’s struggles have been pronounced. Currently sitting at a disappointing 1-5, the team has faced difficulties particularly in offense, ranking 134th in possession efficiency. Quarterback Chubba Purdy’s performance led to his benching after throwing seven interceptions versus only one touchdown. Replacement Carter Jones has not significantly improved the situation, scoring just 17 points against Fresno State and 10 against San Diego State in his starts.
The main strength for Nevada lies in their defensive line, which features standouts like Dylan LaBarbera, who has compiled 14 tackles for loss this season. However, the offense’s turnover issue has limited their effectiveness, making it challenging to capitalize on defensive strengths.
On the other hand, New Mexico boasts a promising season under head coach Jason Eck, who has revitalized the team. With a record of 3-3, they are on track for a potential bowl appearance, their first since 2016. Key players like quarterback Jack Layne, although struggling at times, have showcased talent, while the rushing attack remains a significant threat with multiple running backs contributing positively.
New Mexico’s offensive line has shown resilience, contributing to their competitive performances, including a tight game against Boise State. However, they are also troubled by secondary vulnerabilities due to injuries, which could be an area that Nevada could exploit, although it remains to be seen whether Nevada can take full advantage given their own offensive challenges.
As the matchup approaches, betting trends favor New Mexico, but the odds suggest a tight contest. The point total has shifted, reflecting expectations for a lower-scoring game, which aligns with predictions that favor the under at 49.5. Given both teams’ struggles with turnovers and efficiency, it seems plausible that the game could remain below this threshold.
Ultimately, this matchup appears to be a test of resilience for Nevada against a New Mexico team that is seeking to establish itself further as a contender in the Mountain West. This clash offers an opportunity for both teams to assert themselves as the season progresses.