Emma Navarro, the 2024 US Open semifinalist, is set to face Yafan Wang in the US Open 2025 Round of 128, with the winner advancing to the second round. The showdown in Flushing Meadows offers Navarro another chance to thrill the home crowd after her stand-out run at last year’s tournament.
Head-to-head and form
– This will be the first career meeting between Navarro and Wang, so their head-to-head stands at 0-0.
– Navarro is currently ranked No. 11 in the world and is coming off a notable 2025 run that includes capturing the Merida Open Akron title. She also posted a dominant 6-0, 6-0 victory in Merida over Emiliana Arango, marking the first double bagel in a WTA final since Iga Swiatek in 2021.
– Navarro’s 2025 hard-court record sits around 18-15 over the past year, with a standout quarterfinal appearance at the Australian Open cited as her other major result that season.
– Wang, a former Top-50 player, is now ranked No. 202 and has appeared in just her fifth tournament of the year. She carries a 33% win rate for the year and a 67% service-game winning percentage, suggesting a capable server who can mix in pace with movement. The 31-year-old veteran reached the US Open Round of 16 in 2024, underscoring her experience at major events.
Match outlook
– The Chinese veteran’s experience could give her a toolset to challenge Navarro early, but Navarro’s improved form and confidence, highlighted by the Merida title and a deep US Open run last year, position her as the favorite to start quickly and try to seize control.
– Navarro is expected to employ a variety of slices and net approaches to disrupt Wang’s rhythm, while Wang will look to leverage her shot-making to blunt Navarro’s pace and keep the rallies competitive.
Predictions and betting odds
– Prediction: Navarro in three sets.
– Betting odds (BetMGM): Navarro win 1/4; Wang win 29/10.
– Other bets of note: Total games over 20.5 (19/20); Navarro -1.5 sets (8/11); Wang +4.5 games (11/10); Navarro to win 2-0 (4/6); total games in set 1 under 9.5 (4/7).
Bottom line
Navarro enters as the favorite to advance, aiming to defend her points and maintain momentum from her standout 2025 season. Wang’s experience and serving power could test Navarro early, but the balance of form and ranking tips Navarro toward the win in a competitive three-set battle.
Summary
Emma Navarro vs. Yafan Wang in the US Open 2025 Round of 128 promises a potentially tight contest with Navarro favored to move through, backed by recent strong results and a high-level track record in majors.
Takeaway
Look for Navarro to start aggressively, using variety to disrupt Wang, while Wang seeks to leverage her veteran instincts and serve to push Navarro to a demanding three-set test.