Seventh-seeded Lorenzo Musetti is set to clash against fellow Italian Lorenzo Sonego in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters, a match that promises to be an exciting showcase of talent. Musetti, who received a bye in the first round due to his seeding, previously reached the quarterfinals at the European Open and the semifinals at the Vienna Open, although he faced tough losses to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Alexander Zverev, respectively.
On the other hand, Sonego also comes into this match with some recent momentum despite a mixed bag of results. He reached the quarterfinals in Stockholm, falling in a nail-biting three-set match to Ugo Humbert, but experienced an early exit in Basel against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, the eventual runner-up. However, Sonego made a strong start in Paris with a decisive 6-2, 6-3 victory over Sebastian Korda in his opening round.
The match between Musetti and Sonego will take place on October 29, 2025, at La Defense Arena in Paris, part of the ATP Masters 1000 series on indoor hard courts. Musetti holds the edge in their head-to-head encounters, having won their only previous meeting at the Vienna Open last year in straight sets, further boosting his confidence heading into this matchup.
Musetti has shown impressive form on hard courts this season, successfully converting 74% of his first serves and saving 62% of break points against him. His aggressive return game, particularly against second serves, has yielded a 54% win rate, contributing to a solid break-point conversion rate of 39%. Meanwhile, Sonego has also been formidable on serve, winning over 70% of his first-serve points and saving 69% of the break points faced, though he slightly lags behind Musetti in return game effectiveness.
Historically, Musetti has a mixed record at the Paris Masters with a 5-5 win-loss tally over four appearances, having reached the quarterfinals only in 2022. For Sonego, this is just his second tournament past the first round in Paris since 2020, when he faced Alex de Minaur after beating Alexander Bublik in his opener.
To emerge victorious, Sonego will need to elevate his return game, as Musetti’s creativity and shot-making abilities may exploit any vulnerabilities in Sonego’s serve. Notably, Musetti’s aspirations to qualify for the ATP Finals could add another layer of motivation in this encounter. Given his current form and past performance against Sonego, Musetti is favored to win the match, potentially in straight sets, and make a deep run in the tournament.