The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies will face off on Sunday Night Baseball, with first place in the National League East hanging in the balance. The Mets recently ended a tough stretch, breaking a seven-game losing streak by defeating the Phillies 11-4 on Saturday. As they aim for another victory, the Mets will have left-hander David Peterson (5-2, 2.60 ERA) starting, while the Phillies will counter with Jesus Luzardo (6-3, 4.41 ERA).
Fans can expect the first pitch at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia at 7:10 p.m. ET. The betting odds reflect a close contest, with Philadelphia currently favored at -126 on the money line, while New York comes in as a +104 underdog. The total runs over/under is set at 9. Notable players to watch include Juan Soto of the Mets, with odds of +350 to hit a home run, and the Phillies’ Trea Turner, who is +160 to achieve 2+ hits.
The latest betting insights suggest a strong showing from the Phillies, who have succeeded in three of their last four games and eight of their last ten. This season, they boast the second-best offense in the National League with a .257 batting average compared to New York’s .244, placing them at 18th in MLB. The SportsLine Projection Model, which has accurately simulated MLB games thousands of times, favors Philadelphia, giving them a probability of winning well above 50%.
Among the model’s best bets for the matchup are:
– Phillies Moneyline (-126)
– Phillies run line +1.5 (-186)
– Brandon Nimmo of the Mets to record over 0.5 total bases (-187)
Brandon Nimmo is in excellent form, riding a four-game hitting streak that has boosted his batting average to .249. In the recent game against the Phillies, he impressed with a performance of two hits, including two home runs, solidifying his reputation as a key player to watch. Nimmo has recorded 14 doubles, 15 home runs, and 41 RBI in his 73 games so far this season, and the model projects him for 1.4 total bases, rating this prop highly.
This matchup not only has playoff implications but also showcases two teams vying for dominance in their division, making it an exciting event for baseball fans. With both teams showing resilience, the outcome will likely be closely contested, elevating the entertainment value.
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