Daria Kasatkina is set to face Nikola Bartunkova in the opening round of the 2026 Australian Open Women’s Singles on Tuesday. According to the latest analytics from Dimers’ tennis model, Kasatkina is favored to win this match, with a projection indicating a 69% chance of her securing a victory against her opponent.
The simulation results suggest that Kasatkina also holds a 65% likelihood of winning the first set, positioning her strongly as she enters the match. While Kasatkina is favored, Bartunkova is statistically considered capable of putting up a fight, with a 53% chance of covering the games spread at +4.5. Additionally, there is a 54% probability for the match to exceed 20.5 total games.
As for the betting odds, recent research reveals the following figures for the match: Kasatkina’s moneyline currently stands at -249, while Bartunkova is at +205. The first set betting odds are -200 for Kasatkina and +162 for Bartunkova, with a game spread of -4.5 for Kasatkina at -105 and +4.5 for Bartunkova at -155. The over/under for total games is set at o20.5 (-112) and u20.5 (-118), reflecting the potential for a closely contested match.
Analyzing these insights can help bettors make informed decisions. With Kasatkina’s strong statistical backing, her entry into this prestigious tournament looks promising. Fans and analysts alike will be watching closely as this match unfolds, with expectations of a competitive and entertaining first-round encounter.