The TCU Horned Frogs will face off against the Kansas Jayhawks in an exciting matchup on January 6, 2026, at 9 p.m. ET, broadcast on ESPN. As anticipation builds for the game, Kansas is favored by 7.5 points with a moneyline of -340, while the total is set at 141.5 points.
Bringing both teams into focus, the TCU Horned Frogs are entering this game against a formidable Kansas defense known for its exceptional performance, allowing opponents just a 93.8 adjusted efficiency rating, which ranks in the top ten nationally. TCU’s offense, which has a 34.2% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, will be tested against Kansas, as the Jayhawks keep teams to only 25.5% shooting from three-point range.
When it comes to scoring inside, TCU has been effective with a 53.6% success rate on two-point shots. However, the Jayhawks counter this strength with a stingy defensive effort that holds opponents to only 45.7% in the same category and features one of the highest block rates in the country at 17.5%. TCU’s tendency to drive through contact could be stifled by Kansas’ ability to avoid fouling.
On the offensive end, Kansas has shown its prowess with a 54th ranking in adjusted efficiency, which is above the Division I average. They rank well in shot quality, boasting a 53.3% adjusted field goal efficiency. Moreover, Kansas excels at assisting; over 57% of their successful shots come from team play, which can exploit TCU’s struggles in limiting effective ball movement.
As for betting insights, Kansas has a significant advantage in free-throw rates, allowing them to maintain a solid defensive front against scoring opportunities for TCU. Coming off a hard-fought loss at UCF, Kansas under head coach Bill Self is poised for a strong rebound, typically responding well with solid defensive outings following defeats.
Furthermore, Kansas benefits from its size advantage and deeper roster at their home venue, Allen Fieldhouse, where they tend to perform at an even higher level. Although TCU is a capable team, they often find it challenging to recover from shooting slumps, particularly against elite defenses like Kansas.
With all these factors considered, Kansas appears well-positioned to cover the spread at -7.5, as their offensive efficiency, elite defensive capabilities, and motivation following a loss suggest they will gradually pull away throughout the game. This matchup promises an engaging contest, with Kansas likely to rise to the occasion as they seek to maximize their home-court advantage.