Brian Ortega is set to face Diego Lopes on the main card of UFC 306 at the Sphere in Las Vegas this Saturday. Here’s a brief look at the matchup from MMA analyst Dan Tom.
The last event concluded with a poor performance, recording 0-5. As for UFC main card predictions in 2024, the record stands at 76-66-3.
In the matchup of Brian Ortega against Diego Lopes, UFC Hall of Famer Daniel Cormier recently expressed that a win for Lopes (25-6 MMA, 4-1 UFC) over Ortega (16-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC) would signify “a bit of a changing of the guard,” particularly considering their current standings in their careers. Ortega, aged 33, has faced challenges with activity since his title fight for the featherweight championship, amassing a record of 2-3 in the last six years. He enters this fight following a notable Performance of the Night submission victory against Yair Rodriguez in February. Ortega was initially scheduled to compete against Lopes in June at UFC 303 but had to withdraw due to complications from a difficult weight cut. On the other hand, Lopes, 29, has made significant strides since joining the UFC last year, earning the title of MMA Junkie’s Newcomer of the Year for 2023. He is currently riding a four-fight winning streak, which includes a decision victory over Dan Ige, who stepped in for Ortega just hours before UFC 303.
In terms of expert predictions for the UFC 306 bout between Ortega and Lopes, it’s important to note that their match was initially set for UFC 303 until Ortega’s health concerns necessitated a withdrawal, leading to Lopes fighting Ige instead.
While both fighters may have had more comprehensive training camps this time around, uncertainties around their health status linger due to the quick turnaround and the significance of this upcoming event. As a result, factors such as age and durability may play crucial roles in the fight.
Ortega appears to have the upper hand on paper concerning skills and experience; however, Lopes has some strategic advantages that could be advantageous in this matchup. Whether Lopes counteracts Ortega’s kicks or capitalizes on straight punches, it is anticipated that Lopes will add to the wear and tear that “T-City” has experienced throughout his career.
Initial predictions lean toward Lopes achieving a stoppage via strikes in the second round.
Current odds favor Lopes, with sportsbooks listing him at -188 and Ortega at +146, according to FanDuel.
The fight is anticipated to take place around 11:30 p.m. ET (8:30 p.m. local time in Las Vegas) as part of the main card and will be available for streaming on ESPN+ pay-per-view. For additional details about the card, check out the event hub for UFC 306.