Ian Happ has long been viewed as the potential ideal leadoff hitter for the Chicago Cubs in 2025, thanks to his disciplined approach at the plate and solid base running skills. However, his performance this season has not lived up to expectations. Following a strong start in March and April, Happ’s numbers have dipped significantly, leading to concern among fans and analysts alike.
Currently, Happ is experiencing his worst season since 2021, posting a .312 wOBA and a 102 wRC+, with a batting line of .228/.326/.375. His isolated power is at a modest .147, despite benefiting from a power surge in June where he hit nine home runs. The situation has led manager Craig Counsell to remove Happ from the leadoff spot shortly before the All-Star break.
While his overall numbers might appear reasonable in isolation, they have deteriorated over the course of the season. Happ’s approach has typically led to a strong batting average, but this year, while his power showed some improvement in warmer months, other aspects of his game suffered. His ability to draw walks remains intact, yet he is struggling to convert that patience into productive hitting.
Evaluating Happ’s season involves understanding the balance between bad luck and deeper mechanical issues impacting his game. Expected metrics such as xBA and xwOBA suggest that Happ’s output should be better than it has been. The fluctuations in his performance, especially when comparing his switch-hitting mechanics, illustrate a complex challenge. His left-handed swings have been stable, while his right-handed swings have varied, leading to inconsistency.
As the Cubs strategize their lineup moving forward, it might be wise for them to keep Happ out of the leadoff position until he can find steadiness in his hitting mechanics. This could allow him to regain his form, benefiting both him and the team in the long run. The Cubs have demonstrated resilience in the past, making changes when necessary, which speaks to their potential for improvement as the season progresses.
In this challenging time, the opportunity for growth and adjustment remains, offering a hopeful glimpse into any future form Happ may reclaim.