As of Wednesday afternoon, Hurricane Ernesto continued to bring significant rainfall to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. By midday Wednesday, Puerto Rico experienced rainfall amounts ranging from 2 to 6 inches, with the eastern part of the island receiving the heaviest totals.
Some areas have already recorded up to 10 inches of rain, and forecasts suggest an additional 2 to 6 inches could fall before the rainfall subsides. Flood watches are in place until Thursday morning, with excessive runoff potentially causing rivers and streams to overflow, leading to flash flooding. There is also a heightened risk of mudslides, particularly in steep terrain.
As the week progresses, Hurricane Ernesto is expected to strengthen as it moves north across the Atlantic. By Friday, the storm is predicted to reach major hurricane status, classified as a category 3, marking it as the second major hurricane of the season.
Ernesto is projected to approach Bermuda as a strong category 2 hurricane over the weekend. Although no watches or warnings have been issued for Bermuda yet, they are anticipated in the coming days.
Regarding the potential impact of Hurricane Ernesto on the New York City area, no significant effects are expected as the storm remains far offshore. However, peripheral impacts, particularly at the beach, are likely. By the end of the week, swells from Ernesto will reach the East Coast, leading to elevated surf conditions and an increased risk of dangerous rip currents, which are expected to persist through the weekend.
Additionally, coastal flooding may be a concern. The combination of Ernesto’s effects, an onshore wind, and a nearly full moon will raise high tide levels, which could result in minor flooding in low-lying areas and roadways.