Today’s MLB schedule features a reduced slate of 10 games, providing an opportunity to analyze the betting trends for key matchups using VSiN’s MLB Betting Splits from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
The Houston Astros (52-34) are on the verge of completing a three-game Interleague series sweep over the Colorado Rockies (19-67). After winning the opener 6-5 and the second game 5-3, the Astros look to finish strong. Left-handed pitcher Brandon Walter (1-1, 3.34 ERA) will start for Houston, while Colorado counters with Kyle Freeland (1-9, 5.56 ERA).
The opening betting line favored the Astros at -175, but it has now risen to -190, indicating strong support from sharps. Currently, the Astros are attracting significant interest, with 88% of moneyline bets and 90% of total money wagered on them at DraftKings. At Circa Sports, those numbers are similarly impressive, with Houston capturing 70% of bets and a staggering 96% of the money.
Statistically, big favorites at -190 or higher have performed well this season, boasting a record of 192-70 (73%) with a 4% return on investment (ROI). The Astros also excel against left-handed pitchers, with a team batting average of .258 against lefties, compared to the Rockies’ .223.
In another matchup, the Milwaukee Brewers (48-38) will face the New York Mets (49-38) in the series finale after each team claimed a win in yesterday’s doubleheader. The Mets have shifted from a -150 home favorite to -160, as sharp bettors have shown confidence in their ability to claim the series. New York holds a strong 73% record as a home favorite this season, buoyed by the solid performance of pitcher David Peterson (5-4, 3.30 ERA).
Lastly, the Atlanta Braves (39-46) are looking to secure a series win against the Los Angeles Angels (42-43) after splitting the first two games. The Braves, listed as -140 favorites initially, have moved to -155, driven by a surge in betting volume that prioritizes a winning performance at home. Atlanta’s batting statistics support their potential, as they fare better against right-handed pitchers compared to the Angels.
Overall, tonight’s matchups reflect high stakes and betting interest with trends favoring the favored teams. With solid pitching and stronger batting statistics, fans can expect an engaging evening of baseball as these teams vie for victory.