Hedge Funds Rebalance Bets on Norwegian Cruise Line Amid Mixed Results

Hedge Funds Rebalance Bets on Norwegian Cruise Line Amid Mixed Results

Raymond James Financial Inc. trimmed its stake in Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) by about 7.5% in the first quarter, according to its latest SEC filing. The firm held 685,056 shares after selling 55,856 during the quarter, representing roughly 0.15% of Norwegian Cruise Line’s outstanding stock and a value of about $12.99 million.

Several other hedge funds were active in Norwegian Cruise Line in recent periods. New Age Alpha Advisors LLC opened a new position valued at around $33,000 in the first quarter. Versant Capital Management Inc more than doubled its exposure, increasing its stake by 147.7% to 1,880 shares worth about $36,000 after adding 1,121 shares in the quarter. Raiffeisen Bank International AG initiated a new position in the stock in the fourth quarter valued at about $40,000. Bogart Wealth LLC surged its holding by 1,012% in the first quarter, bringing its total to 2,224 shares valued at about $42,000 after purchasing an additional 2,024 shares. LRI Investments LLC also started a new position in the fourth quarter valued at roughly $47,000. Overall, institutional investors owned about 69.58% of Norwegian Cruise Line.

In trading terms, Norwegian Cruise Line opened at $24.87 on Friday. The company carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 8.05, a current ratio of 0.18 and a quick ratio of 0.16. Its market capitalization stands around $11.24 billion, with a price-to-earnings multiple of 17.15 and a price-to-earnings growth ratio of 1.15. The stock’s beta is 2.24, reflecting higher volatility relative to the market. Norwegian Cruise Line has traded in a range over the past year from a low of $14.21 to a high of $29.29. The stock sits above its 200-day moving average of $20.60 and near its 50-day moving average of $23.21.

The company last reported quarterly results on July 31, posting earnings of $0.51 per share, just missing the consensus estimate of $0.52. Return on equity came in at 59.88%, with a net margin of 7.52%. Revenue for the quarter totaled $2.52 billion, slightly below the $2.55 billion analysts had expected, though this marked a 6.1% increase in revenue year over year. For the current outlook, Norwegian Cruise Line guided to a fiscal 2025 earnings per share in the range of $2.05, with third-quarter guidance around $1.14 per share. Analysts, on average, expect about $1.48 per share for the current fiscal year.

Among sell-side views, several analysts recently nudged price targets higher. Susquehanna increased its target to $25 with a neutral rating, Mizuho lifted its target to $29 with an outperform rating, Jefferies raised its target to $29 and gave a buy rating, Tigress Financial boosted its target to $38 with a strong-buy rating, and Citigroup moved its target to $30 with a buy rating. The current consensus from MarketBeat is a Moderate Buy rating, with a average target price around $27.50.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands, offering itineraries across multiple regions and a wide range of voyage durations.

Commentary and context for readers:
– The ongoing mix of stake reductions by larger funds alongside new small-position entries suggests a nuanced investor stance, weighing the company’s recent earnings performance against its growth prospects and the cruise industry’s sensitivity to consumer demand and macro conditions.
– The stock’s elevated debt load and liquidity measures are important factors to watch, as is the company’s ability to deliver on guidance in a competitive leisure travel market.
– With several brokers signaling upside potential through raised price targets and the overall Buy-associated sentiment, investors may view any pullbacks as potential entry points, while risk remains connected to industry cycles and consumer spending.

Summary:
Norwegian Cruise Line saw mixed quarterly results and a modest earnings miss, but revenues rose and several analysts still project upside. Large investors continue to adjust holdings, with a blend of reductions and new positions across a spectrum of firms. The stock trades in the mid-20s, with volatility and debt levels notable, while the analyst community remains cautiously optimistic about its longer-term trajectory.

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