On January 19, 2026, the Miami Heat are scheduled to take on the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco, with the tip-off set for 10 p.m. ET. As of now, the Heat hold a 22-20 record while the Warriors are slightly ahead at 24-19. This matchup marks the second encounter between the two teams this season, as the Heat emerged victorious in the first game with a 110-96 win on November 19.
Recently, the Heat have been performing well, winning two of their last three games, which includes an impressive upset against the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder, finishing the game 122-120. In that matchup, center Bam Adebayo shone with a stellar performance, scoring 30 points and grabbing 12 rebounds. However, the team will be without guard Tyler Herro, who is sidelined due to toe and rib injuries.
On the other hand, the Warriors are riding a three-game winning streak, recently dominating the Charlotte Hornets in a 136-116 victory. Guard De’Anthony Melton contributed significantly off the bench with 24 points, although star player Stephen Curry had a quieter outing with just 14 points in 30 minutes of play. The Warriors will also be missing key players, including guard Seth Curry and forward Draymond Green, who is likely to play but has been dealing with an ankle issue.
The betting odds from BetMGM Sportsbook indicate that the Heat are underdogs at +5.5 against the spread. The moneyline stands at Heat +180 and Warriors -220, while the over/under for the game is set at 239.5. Analysis suggests that while the Warriors have a solid home record of 16-6, taking the Heat at +5.5 could be a favorable bet given their recent performance and the fact they have successfully covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games against Golden State. Additionally, the trend of unders in their previous matchups makes betting on the under a reasonable choice.
As anticipation builds for this encounter, fans will be eager to see if the Heat can continue their momentum against a formidable Warriors team, particularly given the absence of key players on both sides. This matchup promises to be another exciting chapter in the ongoing NBA season, showcasing the competitive spirit of both teams.