The American League Division Series (ALDS) has been a rollercoaster for the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers. Cleveland initially took command with a dominant 7-0 victory in Game 1. However, the Tigers responded emphatically, securing back-to-back 3-0 shutouts to grab a 2-1 lead in the series. According to the Associated Press, it’s notable that this is the first playoff series to start with three consecutive shutouts since 1905. The Guardians find themselves in a challenging position, having gone 20 consecutive innings without scoring.
Despite the dire circumstances, there are reasons to consider the Guardians as valuable contenders in Game 4 on Thursday.
Current betting odds show the Guardians at -120 on the moneyline, while the Tigers are at +100. The run line is set at -1.5 for the Guardians, with an over/under of 6.5.
Tanner Bibee is set to make his second start of the series for Cleveland after he did not pitch long enough in Game 1 to qualify for the win despite leaving the game with a 5-0 advantage. Manager Stephen Vogt opted to bring in the bullpen after a single from Detroit’s Parker Meadows in the fifth inning. Bibee pitched 4 ⅔ innings, throwing 76 pitches, allowing four hits, and striking out six batters. His performance and consistent stats, including a 3.47 ERA, indicate he remains a strong option for the Guardians.
On the other hand, the Tigers are a game away from advancing to the ALCS but have faced challenges at the plate. Manager A.J. Hinch has utilized a unique “pitching chaos” strategy that has involved creative mixing and matching of his bullpen arms, leading to their successes thus far. As they prepare for Game 4, it remains to be seen whether this strategy will continue to yield results.
With their ace Tarik Skubal potentially available for Game 5, the Tigers might tread carefully. The Guardians, hoping to avoid a third straight shutout, will aim to capitalize on any opportunities to score, which could shift momentum and lead to a Game 5 showdown.
Historically, teams that have faced back-to-back shutouts in the postseason perform well, with a significant winning percentage on the moneyline. The Guardians, favored at -120, present a compelling case for bettors looking to place a wager on this matchup.
Best bet: Guardians moneyline (-120).