As the weekend approaches, a cold front is set to sweep through Middle Georgia, raising questions about the possibility of snowfall. However, various factors suggest that snow is unlikely this weekend.
One key reason for this low probability is the inconsistent forecasts from major weather models. The American model, known as the GFS, and the European model, or ECMWF, often referred to as the EURO, have not aligned in their predictions. Earlier this week, the GFS was indicating potential snow for Middle Georgia, while the EURO showed none. By Tuesday, both models forecasted a lack of snow, though the GFS briefly suggested a wintry mix, which the EURO still disputed.
Another critical factor is the projected path of the low-pressure system, which will influence the type and amount of precipitation. For this weekend, the low is expected to take a “Path A” trajectory, originating from the north-central United States. This path is anticipated to be moisture-starved as it bypasses significant water bodies. Additionally, the more favorable conditions for snow are situated north of the system, leaving Middle Georgia on the warmer side of the low.
If the low were to take “Path B” instead, moving over the Gulf, it would have the potential to collect moisture, creating a more favorable environment for snow. This path would place the critical snowfall sector over Middle Georgia, but current forecasts do not predict such a scenario.
Temperatures also play a substantial role in the likelihood of wintry weather. Daytime highs are projected to remain well above freezing, reaching the mid-50s on Saturday and the upper 40s on Sunday. As a result, any frozen precipitation that does occur would likely not last long.
While forecasts can change as the weekend approaches, the outlook right now does not point toward a snowy landscape for Middle Georgia. In the meantime, residents can expect dangerously cold conditions across the region. An Arctic cold front is anticipated to arrive on Wednesday evening, leading to windy and frigid temperatures on Thursday. Wind chills are likely to drop into the teens, with actual temperatures hovering in the low 30s and potentially feeling much colder due to gusts of up to 25 mph.
By Friday morning, temperatures are predicted to reach the upper teens, prompting residents in older homes to take precautions, such as dripping pipes and ensuring that space heaters are used safely. Overall, while snow may not be in the forecast, the region should prepare for a significant drop in temperatures leading up to the weekend.