The Fiji Meteorological Service has announced a La Niña Watch for the nation, predicting the potential onset of a weak La Niña event between November 2025 and January 2026. This forecast follows the recent Fiji Climate Outlook report indicating that residents can expect normal to above-normal rainfall across most regions in the coming months.
Rainfall in November is expected to reach average or elevated levels throughout the Fiji Group, while conditions in Rotuma remain somewhat uncertain. For the period from November 2025 to January 2026, a likelihood of above-normal rainfall is anticipated across the entire country, including Rotuma, with this trend expected to persist into February and April 2026.
Alongside increased rainfall, both maximum and minimum temperatures are expected to stay above normal during the wet season, creating humid conditions. The Met Service has highlighted that as Fiji approaches La Niña conditions, there may be a heightened risk of flooding, especially in low-lying and flood-prone areas.
Historically, La Niña events are known to enhance rainfall during Fiji’s wet season. With such predictions in mind, the Met Service urges communities to remain vigilant and prepare for potential weather disruptions. Previous forecasts have indicated that while wet conditions can present challenges, they also provide significant benefits for agriculture by replenishing water supplies and supporting crop production. Hence, these weather patterns could help strengthen local agriculture, contributing positively to Fiji’s economy in the long term.
As communities prepare for the upcoming season, staying informed and proactive will be essential in mitigating risks associated with increased rainfall and potential flooding. With the resilience of Fijian communities highlighted in past reports, there remains optimism that they can effectively navigate these environmental challenges while capitalizing on the benefits brought by seasonal rains.