Fiji has recently marked 2024 as one of its wettest years on record, receiving an average rainfall of 3040mm nationally. This positions the year as the sixth wettest in the last 67 years, according to the Fiji Meteorological Service’s Annual Climate Summary. However, despite this significant rainfall, the overarching trend from 1958 to 2024 shows no definitive increase or decrease due to the natural ebb and flow caused by El Niño and La Niña weather patterns.
Among the 23 rainfall monitoring stations in Fiji, 17 reported above-normal rainfall, while the rest observed near-normal levels. January, February, March, November, and December were notably wet months, driven by multiple active weather conditions and tropical disturbances. Monasavu topped the charts with 5791mm of rain, followed by Nadarivatu at 4997mm, Navua at 4371mm, and Laucala Bay in Suva at 3993mm. Conversely, Levuka had the least rainfall with 1253mm, succeeded by Vanuabalavu with 1878mm, Ono-i-Lau with 1890mm, and Momi with 1974mm.
This diverse pattern demonstrates the ongoing influence of various climatic factors and underscores the variability within Fiji’s different regions. In light of these insights, it is vital for local communities and the agricultural sector to prepare for the potential impacts of significant rainfall. Heavy rains can pose threats such as flooding, affecting transport and infrastructure. Yet, they also provide crucial water supply replenishment and boost agricultural productivity, thereby supporting the sustainability of Fiji’s largely agriculture-driven economy.
Looking ahead, climate predictions for the 2025 dry season suggest a likelihood of normal to above-average rainfall, driven by prevailing neutral oceanic conditions within the ENSO cycle. This balanced outlook highlights the importance of being prepared for adverse weather while also capitalizing on the opportunities for improved agricultural yields.
In conclusion, while there are challenges associated with weather extremes, they also pave the way for agricultural revitalization and exhibit the resilience of Fijian communities. With effective preparation and adaptation, there is optimism for positive developments amid changing weather patterns.