As Indiana experiences a hot and challenging summer, many residents are looking forward to the arrival of fall. The Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its seasonal forecast, predicting a “cool and dry” autumn for the state and the wider Midwest region. They anticipate temperature drops of up to two degrees below normal in September and October.
In contrast, the Farmer’s Almanac describes the 2025 fall as having “flirty, flurry” conditions, noting a mix between early chills in the North and lingering warmth in the South. They describe the Midwest as experiencing clearer skies in September with a volatile mixture of good weather and storm activity, including severe thunderstorms and possible tornadoes.
However, climatologists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) temper these predictions, indicating a likelihood for warmer than average temperatures in Indiana with a 33-50% chance of such conditions continuing through November. This contrasts with the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s forecast, leading to a discussion about the reliability of long-range weather predictions.
Last year, Indiana’s average high temperatures in fall were somewhat warmer than historical averages, which raises questions about how this season will unfold. Based on climate data from the National Weather Service, the typical temperatures for September, October, and November are 78, 66, and 52 degrees, respectively.
As we await the transition into fall, it might be helpful to remain adaptable, as predictions can vary, and weather patterns may not align with expectations. The hope is for a pleasant autumn that balances cooler days with comfortable warmth, allowing residents to enjoy the season’s beauty, from colorful leaves to the comfort of hot drinks.
Those looking forward to wearing sweaters and enjoying crisp air may have to be patient, as forecasts suggest a potential delay in cooler temperatures. Keeping an eye on upcoming weather reports will be essential for planning outdoor activities.