The Atlanta Falcons are facing a crucial moment in their season as they come out of a much-needed bye week. After suffering back-to-back losses, including a particularly tough defeat in Denver, the Falcons are now in a tight race at the top of the NFC South. The recent win by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the New York Giants has further compressed the standings, leaving just one game separating the top teams in the division, although Atlanta currently holds the tiebreaker advantage.
As the Falcons prepare to host the 7-4 Los Angeles Chargers, they have a notable logistical advantage, considering the Chargers played just last Monday and have to travel cross-country for this matchup. This added rest could play a pivotal role in the Falcons’ performance.
A victory against the Chargers would not only boost Atlanta’s morale but also mark only their second win this season against a team with a winning record. Additionally, it would end a three-game losing streak against the Chargers, a hurdle the Falcons are eager to overcome.
Assessing the bigger picture, if the Falcons triumph over the Chargers, they will likely need to secure a minimum of four wins out of their remaining six games to maintain a shot at the division title, especially if the Buccaneers perform well in their final stretch. The upcoming game against the Chargers is seen as the most favorable for the Falcons, given their current circumstances. Moreover, a win could solidify their position in the NFC, potentially moving them into third place in the conference if the Seattle Seahawks also drop their game.
Conversely, a loss to the Chargers would mark the Falcons’ third consecutive defeat, leading to a challenging upcoming schedule, including a game against the strong 9-2 Minnesota Vikings. While still ahead in the division due to tiebreakers, such a loss could destabilize their grip on the division, especially if the Buccaneers secure wins against lower-ranked teams.
Currently, statistical models give the Falcons a 78% chance of making the playoffs. However, a defeat combined with a Buccaneers victory could significantly decrease their postseason chances to 64%. The unexpected loss to the Saints has complicated their path, but there’s still room for optimism if the Falcons capitalize on their opportunities going forward.
In summary, this Week 13 matchup against the Chargers is critical for the Falcons. A win could bolster their playoff hopes and restore confidence, while a loss may place them in a precarious position as they aim for the postseason. With determination and strategic play, Atlanta has the potential to turn their season around and reclaim their standing in the NFC South.